Match Analysis: Washington State Cougars vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Gesa Field at Martin Stadium, Pullman, Washington
Game Overview
Washington State (4-5) hosts Louisiana Tech (5-4) in a non-conference matchup with both teams seeking momentum heading into the end of the regular season. The Cougars are favored at home, but recent trends and defensive metrics suggest a tight, low-scoring contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- Washington State has struggled recently, losing 3 of their last 4 and failing to cover the spread in each of their last four games as a favorite. Louisiana Tech has covered the spread in 11 of their last 15 games and has shown resilience on the road, but their defense has allowed 25+ points in recent outings. Both teams have seen their last 5 games go under the total.
- No recent H2H data available, but Washington State has won the first half in 12 of their last 13 home games against non-conference opponents.
- No major injuries reported for either team.
- Washington State has a strong home record in November, but Louisiana Tech has covered the spread in most of their recent road games. The weather is expected to be mild, with no significant impact on play.
- Washington State is motivated to finish strong at home, while Louisiana Tech is looking to build momentum for a bowl game. Both teams are in the middle of their conference standings, so bowl eligibility is a factor.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -325, away: 260 | Washington State | Not available |
| Spread | home: -8.5, away: 8.5 | Louisiana Tech +8.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | over: 44.5, under: 44.5 | Under 44.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Washington State Cougars -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 44.5 37% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Washington State wins a close game, but Louisiana Tech covers the spread and the total goes under.
Predicted Score: Washington State 21, Louisiana Tech 16