Match Analysis: Washington State Cougars vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Gesa Field at Martin Stadium, Pullman, Washington
Game Overview
The Washington State Cougars (4-5) face the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (5-4) in a late 2025 regular season NCAAF matchup. Washington State is a significant favorite at home with a strong moneyline and spread advantage. The total points line is set at 44.5 points, reflecting moderate scoring expectations.
Key Factors to Consider
- Washington State has struggled with a 4-5 record overall and a 2-3 record in their last five games, including a narrow 10-7 loss to Oregon State indicating offensive challenges. Louisiana Tech (5-4) has demonstrated resilience, going 11-4 against the spread in their last 15 games with a propensity for lower scoring games as 8 of their last 11 games went under the total. Washington State is 4-1 ATS in their last five games but has had five games in a row go under the total.
- Historical head-to-head data is limited in the provided information, but Washington State is favored strongly by bookmakers, suggesting recent or contextual dominance over Louisiana Tech.
- No specific injury information is available for either team at this point.
- Game played at Washington State's home stadium, which provides home field advantage. No other significant external factors such as weather or travel-related difficulties were highlighted.
- Washington State may be motivated to improve their losing record at home and secure a critical win late in the season. Louisiana Tech seeks to upset the favored Cougars and cover the spread, relying on a strong turnover margin (+0.4 per game compared to Washington Stateโs -1.4).
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Washington State Cougars: -325, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: 260 | Washington State Cougars | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Spread | Washington State Cougars: -8.5 -108, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: +8.5 -112 | Washington State Cougars -8.5 | โ โ โ โ โ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 44.5: -110, Under 44.5: -110 | Under 44.5 | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Washington State Cougars -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 44.5 24% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Washington State is predicted to win the game by covering the 8.5 point spread with a relatively low scoring game expected. The combined statistics and trend toward under totals suggest a game finishing under 44.5 points.
Predicted Score: Washington State Cougars 21 – 16 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs