Match Analysis: Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-13
- Time: 12:16 AM UTC
- Location: FedExField, Landover, MD
Game Overview
The Washington Commanders host the Chicago Bears in an NFL Week 6 matchup featuring two top young quarterbacks, Caleb Williams (Washington) and Jayden Daniels (Chicago). Washington enters favored after a strong recent win, while Chicago is coming off a bye week after a two-game winning streak.
Key Factors to Consider
- Washington is 3-2 overall and 2-0 at home, showing a balanced offense with improved rushing and opportunistic defense creating turnovers recently. Chicago is 2-2 but revitalized offensively under coach Ben Johnson, with momentum from two straight wins before their bye.
- Last yearβs meeting included a dramatic game-winning Hail Mary by Chicagoβs Daniels to beat Washington. Both teams have young QBs who show promise, with Washington holding a slight edge in home advantage and recent form.
- No major injury reports are indicated affecting starting quarterbacks or key offensive players for either team. Both offenses should be near full strength.
- This Monday night prime-time game adds pressure and spotlight, favoring disciplined teams and home advantage. Weather is not expected to be a significant factor.
- Washington looks to build on their best win of the year against the Chargers, aiming to maintain momentum. Chicago aims to capitalize on their bye and back-to-back wins to continue their resurgence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Washington Commanders -225, Chicago Bears +185 | Washington Commanders | β β β β β 74% |
Spread | Washington Commanders -4.5 -115, Chicago Bears +4.5 -105 | Washington Commanders -4.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 49.5 -118, Under 49.5 -102 | Over 49.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Washington Commanders -6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 49.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Washington Commanders to win outright on the moneyline, cover the 4.5-point spread, and the game to go over 49.5 points
Predicted Score: Washington Commanders 28, Chicago Bears 21
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