Match Analysis: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs SMU Mustangs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: October 25, 2025
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Game Overview
This matchup between SMU Mustangs and Wake Forest Demon Deacons pits two teams with contrasting recent performances. SMU is on a three-game winning streak, while Wake Forest has shown resilience despite injury concerns.
Key Factors to Consider
- SMU has been strong offensively, scoring 34.1 points per game, while Wake Forest has been solid defensively, allowing only 20 points per game.
- Limited recent head-to-head data, but SMU's current form suggests an advantage.
- Wake Forest's starting QB Robby Ashford is dealing with an injury, which could impact their performance.
- Weather conditions are favorable for both teams with no rain expected.
- Both teams are motivated to improve their standings, but SMU's recent form gives them a psychological edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | SMU: -154, Wake Forest: 130 | SMU Mustangs | β β β β β 73% |
| Spread | SMU: -3.5 -104, Wake Forest: 3.5 -118 | SMU Mustangs -3.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | over: 54.5 -110, under: 54.5 -110 | Over 54.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | SMU Mustangs 19% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 54.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: SMU Mustangs at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
SMU is favored to win due to their strong recent form and Wake Forest's injury concerns.
Predicted Score: SMU 31, Wake Forest 24