Match Analysis: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Kennesaw State Owls - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-29
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium, Winston-Salem
Game Overview
Wake Forest Demon Deacons host Kennesaw State Owls in their 2025 season opener. Wake Forest enters as heavy favorites, boasting more experience in FBS play, home-field advantage, and superior team statistics, while Kennesaw State is in its second FBS season with a largely new coaching staff.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wake Forest showed stronger offensive and defensive metrics last season and has recruited well, while Kennesaw State struggled offensively, ranking low in yards per game and 1st downs. Wake Forestβs historic struggles in covering large spreads at home contrast with Kennesawβs recent non-conference under performances.
- This is the first-ever meeting between Wake Forest and Kennesaw State, so no direct historical data exists.
- No significant reported injuries to key players for either team ahead of this matchup.
- Wake Forest plays at home which aids their performance, but they have a recent history of underperforming on the spread at this venue. Kennesaw Stateβs new coaching regime may limit continuity early in the season.
- Wake Forest aims to start strong at home after offseason improvements, while Kennesaw State seeks to establish itself in the FBS level under new leadership. Motivation favors Wake Forest due to higher program stability and quality.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Wake Forest -1050, Kennesaw State +675 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | β β β β β 85% |
Spread | Wake Forest -17.5 -112, Kennesaw State +17.5 -108 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons -17.5 | β β β β β 78% |
Over/under | Over 51.5 -112, Under 51.5 -108 | Under 51.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Wake Forest Demon Deacons -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 51.5 35% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win straight up and cover the spread; under total points scored is favored given Kennesaw Stateβs struggling offense and Wake Forestβs history of defensive resilience in early home games.
Predicted Score: Wake Forest 31 - Kennesaw State 13
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