Match Analysis: Virginia Cavaliers vs Florida State Seminoles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-26
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: David A. Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium
Game Overview
Florida State Seminoles (3-0) visit Virginia Cavaliers (3-1) in ACC conference play. Florida State is ranked No. 8 and undefeated, while Virginia has a solid home record and a strong ATS performance. Both teams have shown a tendency for games to go over recent totals, especially Virginia at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Florida State is undefeated and favored heavily, with a strong offense averaging 35+ points per game. Virginia is 3-1 overall, competitive at home, and well against the spread (5-2 ATS at home recently).
- Recent H2H shows Florida Stateβs dominance, with their offense outperforming Virginiaβs defense significantly in past matchups. However, Virginia covers spreads at home consistently.
- No key injury info available from search results; assume mostly healthy squads given no alerts.
- Game played at Virginiaβs home stadium, which historically boosts Virginia's ATS and over totals. Weather and other environmental factors unknown but presumed standard.
- Florida State seeks to maintain undefeated status and top ACC standing. Virginia motivated to defend home turf and bounce back from early deficit in ACC play.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Florida State: -255, Virginia: +205 | Florida State | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Florida State: -6.5 -122, Virginia: +6.5 100 | Virginia +6.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 59.5: -102, Under 59.5: -120 | Under 59.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Florida State Seminoles -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 59.5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 59.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Florida State Seminoles win straight up; cover the 6.5 point spread seems less likely due to Virginia's strong home ATS record; expect game total to stay under 59.5 due to defensive adjustments.
Predicted Score: Florida State 27 – Virginia 20