Match Analysis: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Missouri Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: FirstBank Stadium, Vanderbilt
Game Overview
A key SEC showdown between two 6-1 teams, Vanderbilt as home favorite against Missouri, presenting a highly competitive match-up with both teams featuring strong recent form and balanced offenses and defenses.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both Vanderbilt and Missouri hold 6-1 records with strong conference performances. Vanderbilt is 10-0 as a home favorite and has a slight edge defensively, while Missouri boasts a powerful ground game and efficient passing with key offensive weapons.
- Missouri has struggled historically against top-10 AP teams while Vanderbilt has thrived as home favorite recently. The matchup is tight with no clear dominance in recent meetings between these top-15 SEC rivals.
- Current injury reports do not indicate major absences for either team that would significantly alter team strength or depth at key positions.
- The game is played at Vanderbiltβs home stadium, giving the Commodores a favorable environment. Weather data is not indicated but presumed neutral.
- Both teams are highly motivated, each 6-1 in the SEC with playoff implications. Vanderbilt aims to maintain dominance at home, Missouri to continue strong road performance and rebound after a recent conference loss.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Vanderbilt -142, Missouri +120 | Vanderbilt | β β β ββ 67% |
| Spread | Vanderbilt -2.5 (-115), Missouri +2.5 (-105) | Vanderbilt -2.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 51.5 (-112), Under 51.5 (-108) | Over 51.5 | β β β ββ 64% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Vanderbilt Commodores 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 51.5 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Vanderbilt to win on the moneyline, cover the -2.5 spread, and game total to go over 51.5 points
Predicted Score: Vanderbilt 28 – Missouri 24