Match Analysis: UTSA Roadrunners vs Texas State Bobcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Alamodome
Game Overview
The UTSA Roadrunners host the Texas State Bobcats in an early season NCAA football matchup. UTSA aims to bounce back after a season-opening loss, while Texas State looks to build on an initial win. Both teams feature offenses capable of high scoring, but defensive uncertainties and recent form suggest a potentially high-scoring and competitive game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Texas State starts 1-0 with momentum and is favored by some analysts due to recent form. UTSA is 0-1 after a loss to Texas A&M but has a strong home performance record with 10 consecutive wins at Alamodome and six straight covers of the spread.
- Limited recent head-to-head data available. Historically, Texas State has struggled as an underdog in Texas matchups, losing 12 of 13 such games, while UTSA has been strong at home, providing a slight edge.
- No significant injury reports affecting either team have been found.
- The game is at UTSAβs home venue (Alamodome), known for a good home advantage. Weather or other external conditions are not reported to impact this game significantly.
- UTSA seeks a strong bounce-back performance following the season-opening loss, which may increase motivation. Texas State is motivated by starting the season with a win and the chance to establish dominance in the in-state rivalry.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Texas State: +160, UTSA: -192 | Texas State | β β β ββ 62% |
Spread | Texas State +4: -108, UTSA -4: -112 | UTSA -4 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 65.5: -108, Under 65.5: -112 | Over 65.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Texas State Bobcats 56% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 65.5 39% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Texas State Bobcats at 56% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Texas State Moneyline, UTSA -4 spread, Over 65.5 points
Predicted Score: Texas State 34 – UTSA 30