Match Analysis: UTEP Miners vs UL Monroe Warhawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-21
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Sun Bowl, El Paso, TX
Game Overview
UTEP Miners take on UL Monroe Warhawks in a Week 4 Sun Bowl clash. UTEP is slight favorite with a 1-2 record hosting a 1-1 UL Monroe team. The game features contrasting recent performances, with UTEP favored by 6 points and an over/under near 46.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- UTEP is 1-2 overall but 2-1 against the spread recently, showing moderate form and betting value. UL Monroe stands 1-1 but has underperformed statistically in scoring and defense.
- Limited recent meetings with UTEP having the edge in scoring projections and spread coverage in latest data, indicating a historical slight edge.
- No major injury reports affecting starting lineup or key positions have surfaced for either team, keeping roster strengths fairly balanced.
- Game played at UTEP's home Sun Bowl stadium with stable weather conditions (85Β°F, no rain), favoring the home team comfort and performance.
- UTEP is motivated to improve to a winning record at home, while UL Monroe looks to upset an in-conference rival to advance their season momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | UL Monroe Warhawks: +190, UTEP Miners: -230 | UTEP Miners | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | UL Monroe Warhawks +6: -112, UTEP Miners -6: -108 | UTEP Miners -6 | β β β β β 72% |
Over/under | Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -105 | Under 46.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | UTEP Miners -7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 46.5 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UTEP will win and cover the 6-point spread in a moderately low-scoring game going under the total points line.
Predicted Score: UTEP Miners 27 – UL Monroe Warhawks 17