Match Analysis: UTEP Miners vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Sun Bowl Stadium, El Paso, TX
Game Overview
Jacksonville State Gamecocks visit UTEP Miners in a Conference USA match where Jacksonville State aims to extend their unbeaten run in conference play. Jacksonville State holds a strong 4-0 conference record versus UTEPβs struggling 1-3, with Jacksonville State coming off three straight wins while UTEP is on a three-game home losing streak.
Key Factors to Consider
- Jacksonville State is 5-3 overall and undefeated 4-0 in conference with momentum from consecutive wins, including a narrow victory over Middle Tennessee. UTEP is 2-6 overall and 1-3 in conference, coming off a 33-20 loss at home and a poor recent form.
- Jacksonville State won the last head-to-head meeting 17-14 at home with a close but definitive victory, suggesting a competitive but favorable edge for Jacksonville State.
- No major injuries reported for either team that would significantly alter expected performance in key positions, keeping lineups relatively stable.
- Game played at UTEP's Sun Bowl in El Paso gives UTEP home field advantage, but their recent history losing home games in November diminishes this factor's impact.
- Jacksonville State highly motivated to maintain unbeaten conference record and build momentum for postseason opportunities, while UTEP motivation is lower due to poor season results and limited playoff prospects.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jacksonville State -118, UTEP -102 | Jacksonville State | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | Jacksonville State -1.5 -108, UTEP +1.5 -112 | Jacksonville State -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 48.5 -115, Under 48.5 -105 | Under 48.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jacksonville State Gamecocks 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 48.5 21% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jacksonville State to win outright on the moneyline, cover the 1.5-point spread, and the game will stay under the total points line of 48.5
Predicted Score: Jacksonville State 24 – UTEP 17