Match Analysis: Utah Utes vs Colorado Buffaloes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-26
- Time: 2:15 AM UTC
- Location: Utah Utes Home Stadium
Game Overview
The Utah Utes host the Colorado Buffaloes in a Big 12 conference showdown. Utah enters as a heavy favorite due to superior recent form, stronger offense and defense rankings, and dominant historical head-to-head results.
Key Factors to Consider
- Utah ranks 20th offensively (36.9 PPG) and 13th defensively (15.3 PPG allowed), while Colorado ranks 89th offensively (24.9 PPG) and 64th defensively (23.7 PPG allowed). Utah's recent form is weaker visually but they excel when turnover margin is positive, while Colorado has a better ATS record this year.
- Utah leads the series decisively, winning 11 of last 13 meetings with an average margin of around 13 points. Utah has also outscored Colorado by 38 points over the last four encounters.
- No specific injury reports are available, but Utah's disciplined ball security (5-0 when β€1 turnover) is a key advantage over Colorado's negative turnover margin in losses.
- Home field advantage favors Utah strongly. The game is played on Utahβs turf in a temperate late October environment favorable to Utahβs controlling style.
- Utah aims to reassert dominance in the rivalry and maintain top conference positioning, while Colorado looks to build on recent ATS success but faces a challenging matchup.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Utah Utes: -550, Colorado Buffaloes: 410 | Utah Utes | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Utah Utes -13.5: -108, Colorado Buffaloes +13.5: -112 | Utah Utes -13.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 49.5: -105, Under 49.5: -115 | Under 49.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Utah Utes -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 49.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Utah Utes to win outright on the moneyline (-550), cover the -13.5 spread, and the game to have an under 49.5 points total.
Predicted Score: Utah Utes 33 – Colorado Buffaloes 16