Match Analysis: Utah Utes vs Cincinnati Bearcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 2:15 AM UTC
- Location: Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, Utah
Game Overview
The No. 24 Utah Utes (6-2) host the No. 17 Cincinnati Bearcats (7-1) in a Big 12 conference matchup. Utah boasts a top-10 scoring defense while Cincinnati ranks 13th in scoring offense. Utah is favored by about 10 points and recent performances show Utah with a dominant 53-7 win over Colorado and Cincinnati with a solid 41-20 win over Baylor. Key injuries and motivation for conference positioning will play critical roles.
Key Factors to Consider
- Utah has shown defensive dominance and a powerful running game, winning big recently. Cincinnati's offense is effective but recently lost their leading rusher Evan Pryor to injury, significantly weakening their ground game.
- Limited recent direct matchups, but Utah's defensive strength and home advantage are strong factors. Cincinnati has struggled against top defenses historically.
- Cincinnati's leading rusher Evan Pryor is out, impacting offensive balance. Utah's QB Devon Dampier is healthy after sitting out last game.
- Game played at Utah's home venue at high altitude, favoring Utah. Weather and travel conditions also advantage Utah.
- Utah aims to maintain scarce conference title chances with a win over a ranked opponent. Cincinnati seeks to stay competitive in conference but is handicapped by injuries.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Utah Utes -425 / Cincinnati Bearcats +330 | Utah Utes | β β β β β 83% |
| Spread | Utah Utes -10.5 (-108) / Cincinnati Bearcats +10.5 (-112) | Utah Utes -10.5 | β β β β β 76% |
| Over/under | Over 54.5 (-115) / Under 54.5 (-105) | Over 54.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Utah Utes -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 54.5 22% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 54.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Utah Utes to win outright on the moneyline, cover the 10.5 point spread, and the game to go over 54.5 points.
Predicted Score: Utah Utes 38 – Cincinnati Bearcats 24