Match Analysis: Utah Utes vs Cal Poly Mustangs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 10:05 PM UTC
- Location: Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City
Game Overview
Utah Utes host Cal Poly Mustangs in a Week 2 NCAAF matchup. Utah is a strong FBS team coming off a dominant season opener and has a significant home advantage, while Cal Poly is an FCS underdog with a long losing streak.
Key Factors to Consider
- Utah Utes won 43-10 in their season opener with a balanced attack (492 total yards) and solid defense. Cal Poly, an FCS team, is 0-11 in their last games and faces a big step up.
- Very limited direct matchups in recent years between Utah (FBS) and Cal Poly (FCS). Historical trend favors the stronger FBS team heavily.
- No significant injury reports impacting Utahβs starting lineup; Cal Polyβs depth likely limited due to their FCS status.
- Game played at Utahβs home stadium with warm, dry weather and minor wind, favorable for Utahβs style.
- Utah aims to maintain dominance and avoid upset; Cal Poly motivated to prove competitiveness but realistically heavy underdog.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Utah -10000, Cal Poly +4000 | Utah | β β β β β 98% |
Spread | Utah -42.5 -110, Cal Poly +42.5 -110 | Utah -42.5 | β β β β β 90% |
Over/under | Over 52.5 -110, Under 52.5 -110 | Under 52.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Home 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 52.5 37% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Utah Utes dominate with a large margin victory; strong confidence in Utah covering the large spread and winning outright; expect a game total under the posted total due to Utahβs controlled offense and Cal Polyβs struggles.
Predicted Score: Utah Utes 45 – Cal Poly Mustangs 7