Match Analysis: Utah State Aggies vs Air Force Falcons – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 1:45 AM UTC
- Location: Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium, Logan, Utah
Game Overview
Air Force Falcons (1-0) visit Utah State Aggies (1-1) in a Mountain West Conference battle. Air Force is favored by 4.5 points with a total set near 51.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Air Force is coming off a 49-13 win over Bucknell with a strong rushing attack and balanced offense; Utah State lost 44-22 to Texas A&M but has shown offensive capability, especially through passing.
- Recent meetings favor Air Force's discipline and rushing dominance. Air Force's ability to control clock and tempo often limits Utah Stateβs offensive rhythm.
- No significant injuries reported for either team that materially affect starters.
- Game is at Utah State's home stadium, potentially giving Utah State some home-field edge. Weather expected to be typical fall conditions with no severe impact.
- Both teams aim to improve conference standing early in the season; Air Force seeks to continue momentum from a dominant win while Utah State looks to rebound after a tough loss.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Air Force -198, Utah State +164 | Air Force Falcons | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Air Force -4.5 -110, Utah State +4.5 -110 | Air Force Falcons -4.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 51.5 -102, Under 51.5 -118 | Under 51.5 | β β β ββ 61% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Air Force Falcons -11% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 51.5 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Air Force Falcons to win outright on the moneyline.
Predicted Score: Air Force 28 – Utah State 20