Match Analysis: UNLV Rebels vs UCLA Bruins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Allegiant Stadium
Game Overview
UNLV Rebels host UCLA Bruins in a Week 2 NCAAF matchup. UCLA enters 0-1 after a tough loss to Utah, struggling defensively especially against the run, while UNLV is 2-0 with strong rushing production but a vulnerable secondary. The game projects to be competitive with high offensive outputs on both sides.
Key Factors to Consider
- UCLA struggled defensively in their opener, giving up 286 rushing yards and 4 TDs, while offensively showed big play potential despite QB struggles. UNLV has averaged 457 rushing yards over two games against weaker opponents but surrendered 26 points per game defensively, especially struggling in pass coverage.
- No recent direct H2H data provided; however, current form favors UNLV's rushing attack. UCLA is favored but has yet to show defensive solidity.
- No significant injuries reported impacting starting lineups for either team.
- Game played at Allegiant Stadium, home of UNLV, giving Rebels a home-field advantage. UCLA faces travel and adjustment with coaching changes.
- UNLV is undefeated and motivated to continue hot start at home. UCLA seeks rebound after opening loss, increasing urgency but with some offensive inconsistency.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | UCLA Bruins: -142, UNLV Rebels: +120 | UNLV Rebels | β β β ββ 62% |
Spread | UCLA Bruins -2.5 (-118), UNLV Rebels +2.5 (-102) | UNLV Rebels +2.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 54.5 (-112), Under 54.5 (-108) | Over 54.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | UCLA Bruins 36% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 54.5 29% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: UCLA Bruins at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UNLV Rebels to win outright, with the game going over the total points line due to weak defenses and strong rushing offenses on both sides.
Predicted Score: UNLV 31 – UCLA 27