Match Analysis: UL Monroe Warhawks vs Old Dominion Monarchs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: JPS Field at Malone Stadium, Monroe, LA
Game Overview
Sun Belt Conference matchup between UL Monroe Warhawks (3-5) and Old Dominion Monarchs (5-3). Old Dominion enters as a heavy favorite, with the sportsbooks pricing them as 88% likely to win. The Monarchs have shown strong offensive production this season, while UL Monroe has struggled defensively and in covering spreads.
Key Factors to Consider
- Old Dominion averages 32.0 points per game (45th nationally) and allows 25.6 (81st). UL Monroe has covered the spread just twice in eight games and is 3-5 SU. Old Dominion has covered the spread in four of eight games.
- No recent H2H data available, but Old Dominion has a clear edge in overall talent and recent form.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- Game is being played at UL Monroe's home stadium, but the Warhawks have not shown a strong home-field advantage this season.
- Old Dominion is fighting for a bowl berth and conference relevance, while UL Monroe is out of contention and may lack motivation.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 500, away: -700 | Old Dominion Monarchs | β β β β β 88% |
| Spread | home: 16.5 -110, away: -16.5 -110 | Old Dominion Monarchs -16.5 | β β β β β 74% |
| Over/under | over: 55.5 -110, under: 55.5 -110 | Over 55.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Old Dominion Monarchs 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 55.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 55.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Old Dominion Monarchs to win outright and cover the spread, with a high-scoring game likely.
Predicted Score: Old Dominion 35, UL Monroe 24