Match Analysis: UConn Huskies vs UAB Blazers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Pratt and Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field, East Hartford, Connecticut
Game Overview
The UConn Huskies (5-3) host the UAB Blazers (3-4) in a matchup featuring two of college football's top passing offenses, with UConn ranked ninth nationally and UAB sixteenth. UConn enters as a strong 11.5-point favorite on home turf, looking to rebound from a close loss, while UAB is coming off a solid upset over Memphis as heavy underdogs.
Key Factors to Consider
- UConn has a potent passing attack but lost a close game to Rice 37-34 recently. UAB defeated Memphis 31-24 as underdogs, showing capability to perform in pressure scenarios. UConn is 4-4 ATS this season, including 1-1 when favored by 11.5 or more. UAB is 3-4 ATS but undefeated (3-0) as underdogs of 11.5 points or more. Both teams have tended to play in games that go over the total.
- No recent detailed head-to-head stats are available; however, UConn's home advantage and superior statistical rankings suggest historical edge.
- No major injuries reported for either team impacting key players at this time.
- Game is at UConnβs home stadium, providing natural home crowd support. Weather and other external factors are expected to be neutral.
- UConn seeks to maintain bowl eligibility and climb in rankings after a narrow loss, while UAB aims to continue momentum after an upset win, potentially motivating a high-effort performance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | UConn: -460, UAB: +360 | UConn Huskies | β β β β β 82% |
| Spread | UConn -11.5 (-115), UAB +11.5 (-105) | UConn Huskies -11.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 63.5 -105, Under 63.5 -115 | Over 63.5 points | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UConn Huskies -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 63.5 33% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 63.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UConn Huskies to win straight up on the moneyline; UConn to cover the -11.5 spread; game total to go over 63.5 points.
Predicted Score: UConn Huskies 38 – UAB Blazers 26