Match Analysis: UConn Huskies vs Duke Blue Devils – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 8:30 PM UTC
- Location: Pratt and Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field
Game Overview
Duke Blue Devils (5-3) travel to face UConn Huskies (6-3) in a high-scoring, high-stakes matchup. Duke is favored by 9.5 points, with a total set at 63.5. Both teams have shown offensive firepower, but Dukeβs recent win over Clemson and UConnβs solid home record add intrigue.
Key Factors to Consider
- Duke enters off a 46-45 win over Clemson, showing explosive offense but shaky defense. UConn is 6-3, coming off a 38-19 win over UAB, with a strong home record and recent momentum.
- Duke won last yearβs meeting 26-21 at home. Both teams have improved offensively since then.
- No major injuries reported for either team.
- Game is played in East Hartford, CT, with mild weather (59Β°F, no rain, light wind), favorable for offense.
- Duke is preparing for a monster UVA game next week, which may affect their focus. UConn is motivated for revenge after last yearβs loss and to boost their bowl prospects.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 280, away: -350 | Duke Blue Devils | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | home: 9.5 -110, away: -9.5 -110 | UConn Huskies +9.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | over: 63.5 -106, under: 63.5 -114 | Over 63.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Duke Blue Devils -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 63.5 40% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 63.5 at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Duke wins, but UConn covers the spread and the game goes over the total.
Predicted Score: Duke 38 – UConn 34