Match Analysis: UConn Huskies vs Ball State Cardinals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field
Game Overview
UConn Huskies and Ball State Cardinals both come in with 1-2 records, with UConn favored heavily at home. The spread is -21 for UConn with a total set at 53.5 points, reflecting expectations of a decisive Husky victory in a moderately high-scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams are 1-2 recently with middling form. UConn shows slight home superiority and moderate success covering spreads recently. Ball State has struggled, reflected in heavy underdog status.
- Limited recent H2H data, but UConn's current form and home advantage suggest dominance over Ball State.
- No significant injuries reported for either team that would drastically affect performance.
- Game is played at UConn's home stadium, providing a strong home-field advantage. Weather and other external conditions are standard, no known factors impacting play.
- UConn is motivated to solidify their season after a slow start, backed by home crowd support. Ball State aims to rebound but faces an uphill battle on the road against a favored opponent.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Ball State Cardinals: 1000, UConn Huskies: -1800 | UConn Huskies | β β β β β 85% |
Spread | Ball State +21: -110, UConn -21: -110 | UConn Huskies -21 | β β β β β 80% |
Over/under | Over 53.5: -105, Under 53.5: -115 | Under 53.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | UConn Huskies -18% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 53.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UConn to win both moneyline and cover the 21-point spread; the game to go under the total points line of 53.5.
Predicted Score: UConn Huskies 36 – Ball State Cardinals 15