Match Analysis: UCLA Bruins vs Maryland Terrapins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Rose Bowl, Pasadena, California
Game Overview
UCLA (2-4, 2-1 Big Ten) hosts Maryland (4-2, 1-2 Big Ten) in a pivotal Big Ten conference clash. UCLA, after an 0-4 start and a coaching shakeup, has won two straight under interim head coach Tim Skipper, including a dominant 38-13 victory over Michigan State. Maryland, coming off a narrow loss to Nebraska, seeks to regain momentum in a tightly contested conference race. The Bruins' offense has surged, averaging 40 points in their last two games, while Maryland is 4-2 overall but just 1-2 in Big Ten play[2][3][6].
Key Factors to Consider
- UCLA has shown dramatic improvement under new leadership, with a more efficient offense and improved turnover margins—quarterback Nico Iamaleava has thrown zero interceptions in the last three games. Maryland has been more consistent overall, but has stumbled recently in conference play[2][3][6].
- The all-time series is tied 1-1, with the last meeting in 1955 (UCLA 0-7 Maryland). These teams have not faced each other in 70 years, so historical data is not relevant for current form[1][4][5].
- No significant injury updates are available from the provided sources. Both teams' recent performance suggests their key contributors are likely active.
- UCLA is at home, where they have shown marked improvement. The Bruins' recent surge coincides with the coaching change, introducing unpredictability and momentum[3][6].
- UCLA is playing to continue their turnaround and climb the Big Ten standings; Maryland is eager to avoid a conference slide and maintain bowl eligibility. Both teams have plenty to play for, but UCLA’s recent momentum and home field may be decisive[3][6].
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | UCLA Bruins: -162, Maryland Terrapins: +136 | UCLA Bruins win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | UCLA Bruins -3.5 (-105), Maryland Terrapins +3.5 (-115) | UCLA Bruins cover (-3.5) | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 52.5 (-110), Under 52.5 (-110) | Over 52.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UCLA Bruins 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 52.5 -1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: UCLA Bruins at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UCLA, riding a two-game win streak and showing offensive explosiveness, is favored to cover the spread in a relatively close game. Maryland’s solid season record is offset by its struggles in Big Ten play and a less impressive recent performance. Expect a high-scoring game, with UCLA’s revived offense keying the win.
Predicted Score: UCLA Bruins 31, Maryland Terrapins 27
