Match Analysis: Tulane Green Wave vs Florida Atlantic Owls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Yulman Stadium
Game Overview
Tulane Green Wave (7-2) host Florida Atlantic Owls (4-5) in a pivotal AAC matchup. Tulane enters as heavy favorites, with the sportsbooks pricing them at -900 on the moneyline and -17.5 on the spread. The over/under is set at 63.5 points, reflecting a high-scoring expectation but recent trends suggest a lower output.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tulane has won five straight games and is 5-0 in their last five outings. They have covered the spread in three of their last five, but their home totals have gone under in three of their last four games. Florida Atlantic has struggled, going 4-5 overall and failing to cover the spread in four of their last five games. Their offense averages 30.3 points per game, while Tulane’s defense allows just 25.5 points per game.
- Recent head-to-head matchups show Tulane dominating, with a 90% implied probability of victory. The last meeting saw Tulane win by a significant margin, and their recent form suggests a similar outcome.
- No major injuries reported for either team, but Tulane’s depth and experience give them a clear edge in key positions.
- The game is played at Yulman Stadium, where Tulane has a strong home record. Weather is expected to be clear, with no significant impact on play.
- Tulane is fighting for a conference title and a potential bowl game, while Florida Atlantic is out of contention and likely to be less motivated.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -900, away: 610 | Tulane Green Wave | Not available |
| Spread | home: -17.5, away: 17.5 | Tulane Green Wave -17.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | over: 63.5, under: 63.5 | Under 63.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tulane Green Wave -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 63.5 30% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 63.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tulane Green Wave to win by more than 17.5 points and the game to finish under 63.5 points.
Predicted Score: Tulane 38, Florida Atlantic 20
