Match Analysis: Tulane Green Wave vs Duke Blue Devils – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, Louisiana
Game Overview
Tulane Green Wave (2-0) host Duke Blue Devils (1-1) in a tightly contested early season game. Tulane holds a slight edge as 1.5-point favorites with a total around 54.5 points, reflecting offensive strengths on both sides balanced by contrasting defensive vulnerabilities.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tulane enters undefeated with close wins, relying on a strong turnover margin despite allowing 6.5 yards per play recently. Duke is 1-1, coming off a heavy loss but boasts a solid passing attack with QB Darian Mensah completing 73.5% passes and a defense ranked top 25 in passing success rate allowed.
- Recent direct matchups are limited, but Tulaneβs home advantage and a narrow coaching edge signal a close battle. Both teams show vulnerability making the matchup competitive.
- No major injuries reported for either side that would drastically alter starting lineups or team effectiveness.
- Game played at Tulane's home stadium provides the Green Wave a familiar environment and likely crowd support. Weather forecast is clear and warm with no anticipated disruptions.
- Tulane aims to preserve an undefeated start and prove toughness against Power Five competition. Duke looks to rebound strongly from a significant loss to Illinois and build early confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Tulane -105 / Duke -115 | Tulane | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | Tulane -1.5 (-115) / Duke +1.5 (-105) | Tulane -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 54.5 -115 / Under 54.5 -105 | Over 54.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Tulane Green Wave 11% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 54.5 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Tulane Green Wave at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tulane to win straight up, cover the 1.5 spread, and the game to go over 54.5 points
Predicted Score: Tulane 31, Duke 23