Match Analysis: Tulane Green Wave vs Army Black Knights – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, Louisiana
Game Overview
The Tulane Green Wave (5-1) face the Army Black Knights (3-3) at Tulane's home stadium in a mid-season AAC matchup. Tulane is the favorite, showing stronger offense and defense overall, while Army seeks revenge from last year's AAC Championship loss.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tulane leads with a 5-1 record and averages 26.2 points scored per game while allowing 23.2 points. Army is 3-3, averaging 25 points scored and 24 points allowed per game but missed heavily on their spread record and showed mixed results against quality opposition.
- Last meeting was the 2024 AAC Championship where Army decisively beat Tulane 35-14. Historically, Tulane leads the series 13-10-1 but Army's recent championship win provides motivation for them to compete.
- No major injuries reported for either team with available data, suggesting both teams will be near full strength.
- Tulane benefits from home-field advantage at Yulman Stadium. Weather and other external conditions are neutral for this October afternoon game.
- Tulane seeks to continue strong form and maintain AAC title ambitions. Army is motivated by revenge and aims to improve to a winning record, but faces an uphill task on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Tulane: -355, Army: 285 | Tulane | β β β β β 74% |
Spread | Tulane: -115, Army: -105 | Tulane -9.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over: -110, Under: -110 | Under 45.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Tulane Green Wave -9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 45.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tulane Green Wave to win straight up, cover the -9.5 spread, with the total going under 45.5 points.
Predicted Score: Tulane 31 – Army 17