Match Analysis: Troy Trojans vs Georgia State Panthers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy, Alabama
Game Overview
The game features the Troy Trojans (6-4) hosting the Georgia State Panthers (1-9) in a Sun Belt Conference matchup. Troy is heavily favored due to superior performance and home advantage, while Georgia State has struggled throughout the season. The game is set for November 22, 2025, at Veterans Memorial Stadium with an expected temperature around 78ยฐF and calm weather conditions.
Key Factors to Consider
- Troy has a strong 6-4 season record with recent wins and a better away and home spread performance. Georgia State has struggled, holding a 1-9 record overall with poor away form and an ATS record that indicates difficulty covering spreads.
- The historical matchup favors Troy with stronger recent results and the Panthers rarely able to contend effectively; Troy is 3-2 ATS in their last five games and 4-1 ATS on the road, suggesting a trend toward consistent performance against expectations.
- No significant injury reports are currently available for either team.
- Weather conditions at Veterans Memorial Stadium are expected to be favorable (78ยฐF, no rain, slight wind), unlikely to affect gameplay negatively.
- Troy aims to solidify their winning season and strengthen Sun Belt positioning, while Georgia State looks to avoid a winless trend and prove competitiveness despite their poor season record.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Georgia State Panthers: +350, Troy Trojans: -455 | Troy Trojans | โ โ โ โ โ 85% |
| Spread | Georgia State Panthers: +10.5 -105, Troy Trojans: -10.5 -115 | Troy Trojans to cover -10.5 | โ โ โ โ โ 78% |
| Over/under | Over 52.5: -105, Under 52.5: -115 | Over 52.5 | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Troy Trojans -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 52.5 21% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 52.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Troy Trojans are strongly predicted to win comfortably, likely covering the spread with a total score exceeding the over/under set around 52.5 points.
Predicted Score: Troy Trojans 35 – Georgia State Panthers 17