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Toledo Rockets vs. Morgan State Bears Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Toledo Rockets vs Morgan State Bears – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH

Game Overview

The Toledo Rockets host the Morgan State Bears at the Glass Bowl in a matchup featuring a Toledo team with a 1-1 record going against an 0-2 Morgan State team. Toledo has a significant home advantage and historical dominance when playing on Saturdays at home. Morgan State is struggling with offensive production and defensive lapses, while Toledo has demonstrated stronger form and defensive resilience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toledo is 1-1 this season, showing balanced offensive and defensive output, averaging around 30.5 points per game. Morgan State is 0-2 with a porous defense allowing 32.5 points per game and limited passing efficiency (62% completion rate, only 1 TD vs 2 INT). Morgan State’s ground game is more productive but insufficient to offset their defensive weaknesses.
  • No recent H2H data available, but Toledo’s recent home success on Saturdays (12-1 SU in last 13 games) and historical dominance over weaker programs strongly favors Toledo.
  • No significant injury reports are available for either team, indicating both squads should have their main contributors available.
  • Temperature of 82°F and no rain with mild wind conditions suggest neutral weather impact. The Glass Bowl home crowd and environment favor Toledo strongly.
  • Toledo aims to improve to 2-1 and assert MAC dominance early, while Morgan State is seeking its first win of the season and faces a daunting challenge on the road, likely impacting confidence and motivation levels.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Toledo -30000, Morgan State +4000 Toledo Rockets ★★★★★ 95%
Spread Toledo -33.5 -110, Morgan State +33.5 -110 Toledo Rockets -33.5 ★★★★★ 90%
Over/under Over 51.5 -110, Under 51.5 -110 Under 51.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toledo Rockets -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 51.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Toledo Rockets dominating with a moneyline win, covering the large spread, and a game total expected to stay under 51.5 points due to Morgan State's weak offense and Toledo's controlled game pace.

Predicted Score: Toledo Rockets 38 – Morgan State Bears 10


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Toledo Rockets vs. Morgan State Bears Prediction

Match Analysis: Toledo Rockets vs Morgan State Bears – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-09-13 Time: 7:30 PM UTC Location: Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH Game Overview The Toledo Rockets host the Morgan State Bears at the Glass Bowl in a matchup featuring a Toledo team with a 1-1 record going against an 0-2 Morgan State team. […]

American Football Morgan State Bears September 13, 2025 Toledo Rockets

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Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Nevada Wolf Pack vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Mackay Stadium, Reno, Nevada

Game Overview

The Nevada Wolf Pack (1-1) host the struggling Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (0-2) at Mackay Stadium. Nevada enters as a heavy favorite following a close win over Sacramento State, while Middle Tennessee is winless with defensive struggles and offensive inefficiency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nevada is 1-1 with a recent narrow win (20-17), showing competitive but inconsistent play. Middle Tennessee is 0-2, coming off a heavy 42-10 loss to Wisconsin, with poor offense averaging under 40 rushing yards per game and a defense allowing about 38 points and 389 yards per game.
  • Recent direct matchups favor Nevada, who have demonstrated more consistent performance against Middle Tennessee historically. Specific recent H2H data not available but overall trend supports Nevada dominance.
  • No major injury reports altering key personnel found in last updates for either team, suggesting lineups likely near full strength.
  • Home field advantage for Nevada at Mackay Stadium with favorable weather expected (77°F, no rain, light wind), supporting offensive effectiveness. Middle Tennessee faces fatigue and morale issues from a 5-game losing streak overall.
  • Nevada motivated to improve to 2-1 after a close opener, seeking to capitalize on home crowd and weaker opponent. Middle Tennessee under pressure after two losses, likely with low confidence and struggling on both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nevada Wolf Pack: -355, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: +280 Nevada Wolf Pack ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Nevada Wolf Pack -9.5: -110, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +9.5: -110 Nevada Wolf Pack -9.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 48.5: -110, Under 48.5: -110 Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nevada Wolf Pack -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nevada to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -9.5 spread, and the total score to go over 48.5 points.

Predicted Score: Nevada Wolf Pack 31 – Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 21


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Bowling Green Falcons vs. Liberty Flames Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Bowling Green Falcons vs Liberty Flames – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, Ohio

Game Overview

Liberty Flames and Bowling Green Falcons both enter the matchup with 1-1 records, showing comparable recent performances. Liberty is favored by bookmakers (-6.5) and has a more prolific offense statistically, averaging 32 points per game compared to Bowling Green's 23. The total points line is set at 51.5, reflecting a potential moderately high-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Liberty's offense outpaces Bowling Green's with higher passing and rushing yards per game. Both teams' defenses allow roughly 20.5 points per game. Bowling Green demonstrated strong passing efficiency (75.9% completion) with Drew Pyne, whereas Liberty’s balanced attack is led by Ethan Vasko and Evan Dickens.
  • No recent detailed head-to-head data provided, but both teams are evenly matched at 1-1 this season. Liberty is the historical favorite in betting lines.
  • No significant injury reports available for key players, indicating both teams likely at full strength.
  • The game is played at Bowling Green’s home stadium with favorable weather conditions (81°F, no rain). Liberty travels as favorites but in less familiar territory.
  • Both teams are aiming to improve their 1-1 start. Liberty may have a confidence edge from higher scoring potential and the team motivation to assert dominance on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bowling Green Falcons: 195, Liberty Flames: -238 Liberty Flames ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Bowling Green Falcons: -112, Liberty Flames: -108 Liberty Flames -6.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 51.5: -105, Under 51.5: -115 Under 51.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liberty Flames -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 51.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liberty Flames to win straight up, cover the -6.5 spread, and the total score to go under 51.5 points.

Predicted Score: Liberty Flames 28 – Bowling Green Falcons 20


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Miami Hurricanes vs. South Florida Bulls Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Miami Hurricanes vs South Florida Bulls – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida

Game Overview

The No. 5 Miami Hurricanes (2-0) host the No. 18 South Florida Bulls (2-0) in a critical matchup with Miami favored by 17.5 points. Miami has shown dominance on defense and offense, averaging 36 points per game without turnovers, while South Florida is riding momentum from winning two straight against ranked opponents.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Miami has beaten Bethune-Cookman 45-3 and Notre Dame narrowly, showing both offensive firepower and strong defense. South Florida won tightly against Florida 18-16, demonstrating resilience but less scoring ability.
  • Historically, Miami dominates at home with 16 wins in their last 17 home games vs. South Florida. Recent H2H favors Miami's superior talent and experience.
  • No major injuries reported impacting starting lineups significantly for either team.
  • Game played at Miami's home stadium, Hard Rock Stadium, offering them crowd support and familiarity. The Bulls may face a challenging travel factor.
  • South Florida is highly motivated to prove themselves against a top-5 team and keep their unbeaten streak; Miami seeks to affirm dominance in the ACC and maintain their top-5 status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Miami -800, South Florida +550 Miami Hurricanes ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Miami -17.5 -105, South Florida +17.5 -115 South Florida Bulls +17.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under Over 57.5 -108, Under 57.5 -112 Over 57.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Miami Hurricanes -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 57.5 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 57.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Miami Hurricanes to win outright and cover the spread appears unlikely given Miami's coach Cristobal's poor home favorite ATS record. The safest highest EV single outcome bet is Miami moneyline, though with a large favorite price. Over 57.5 points is also plausible given Miami's offense and South Florida's ability to score some points.

Predicted Score: Miami Hurricanes 38 – South Florida Bulls 21


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Texas Longhorns vs. UTEP Miners Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Texas Longhorns vs UTEP Miners – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 8:15 PM UTC
  • Location: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, Texas

Game Overview

The Texas Longhorns, ranked No. 7 nationally, face the UTEP Miners in a Week 3 NCAAF contest. Texas enters as a dominant 41.5-point favorite with a strong offense and opportunistic defense, while UTEP has shown promise but is clearly outmatched.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Texas is averaging over 40 points per game with a balanced and high-powered offense and a defense capable of forcing turnovers. UTEP has a mixed ground game and struggles to defend disciplined, elite offenses.
  • Recent matchups heavily favor Texas, who control their home field and possess superior talent depth and execution.
  • No significant injuries reported for Texas; UTEP’s key skill position players remain intact but are young and developing.
  • The game being in Austin favors Texas with a strong home crowd and familiar environment. No adverse weather or other external conditions expected.
  • Texas seeks to assert dominance early in the season and demonstrate top-10 credentials. UTEP aims to prove resilience but faces an uphill battle.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Texas -100000, UTEP +5000 Texas Moneyline ★★★★★ 95%
Spread Texas -41.5 -108, UTEP +41.5 -112 Texas -41.5 ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 51.5 -105, Under 51.5 -115 Over 51.5 ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 37%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Texas Longhorns to cover the 41.5-point spread decisively

Predicted Score: Texas 48 – UTEP 7


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Missouri Tigers vs. Louisiana Ragin Cajuns Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs Louisiana Ragin Cajuns – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field, Columbia, Missouri

Game Overview

Missouri Tigers, currently ranked No. 25 and undefeated at 2-0, host the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns, who hold a 1-1 record. Missouri’s strong offense and defense, combined with home-field advantage and recent dominating performances, make them heavy favorites. Louisiana has shown some offensive potential but lacks experience against Power Five opponents like Missouri.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Missouri has displayed balanced offensive efficiency and a stout defense, winning their last game 42-31. Louisiana managed a solid 34-10 win recently but against a weaker opponent; their defense is likely to struggle against Missouri’s multi-faceted attack.
  • Missouri has historically dominated this matchup, with Louisiana rarely competing closely especially when Missouri is home and in form.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would impact the game.
  • Missouri’s home venue at Faurot Field is known for a strong home advantage with vocal support, creating a challenging environment for visiting teams.
  • Missouri aims to stay undefeated and build momentum for the season ahead, while Louisiana faces a tough road challenge that may dampen their motivation given the disparity in talent and ranking.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline missouri: -4500, louisiana: +1700 Missouri Tigers ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread missouri: -27.5 -102, louisiana: +27.5 -118 Missouri Tigers -27.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under over: 47.5 -108, under: 47.5 -112 Over 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Missouri Tigers -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Missouri Tigers to win decisively and cover the large spread, with the game projecting an above-average total score given Missouri’s offensive firepower.

Predicted Score: Missouri 44 – Louisiana 7


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Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Iowa State Cyclones Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Iowa State Cyclones – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Centennial Bank Stadium, Jonesboro, Arkansas

Game Overview

Iowa State Cyclones enter as heavy favorites against Arkansas State Red Wolves, who have shown inconsistencies early in the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Iowa State is undefeated at 3-0, with a strong defensive showing allowing 20.5 points per game, and a balanced offense led by QB Rocco Becht. Arkansas State is 1-1, recently suffering a heavy loss (56-14) to Arkansas Razorbacks.
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited; Iowa State's higher ranking and confidence from recent wins against quality opponents gives them a strong mental edge.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would majorly affect game outcome.
  • Game played at Arkansas State’s home venue with 92°F and no rain, which may slightly favor the home team, but likely minimal impact given Iowa State’s form.
  • Iowa State, ranked No. 14, motivated to maintain unbeaten streak and build momentum for tougher upcoming matches; Arkansas State aims to bounce back but faces steep odds.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +850, away: -1450 Iowa State Cyclones ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread home: -105, away: -115 Iowa State -20.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over: -112, under: -108 Under 55.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Iowa State Cyclones -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 55.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 55.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Iowa State to win, cover the spread, and the total points to go under 55.5

Predicted Score: Iowa State thirty-four – Arkansas State eleven


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North Texas Mean Green vs. Washington State Cougars Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: North Texas Mean Green vs Washington State Cougars – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: DATCU Stadium, Denton, Texas

Game Overview

Both North Texas Mean Green and Washington State Cougars enter the game undefeated at 2-0. North Texas has shown strong offensive output with a 51-0 blowout and a close 33-30 win, while Washington State has allowed fewer points defensively in their recent 36-13 victory. The game is expected to be competitive with a moderately high total points projection.

Key Factors to Consider

  • North Texas averages 48 points per game with balanced passing and rushing offense, holding opponents to 15 points per game. Washington State averages 24.5 points per game, excels defensively allowing only 11.5 points per game, and relies more on passing yards. Washington State has struggled to cover recent spreads, while North Texas is strong at home as favorites.
  • Limited recent direct matchups; no recent H2H data strongly favors either side. North Texas home advantage and recent form against similar opponents give them the edge in this matchup.
  • No significant injury reports available for either team, so both teams are presumed healthy.
  • Game played at North Texas home stadium; travel and hostile environment may slightly favor the Mean Green. Weather is expected to be typical for Denton, Texas in September, unlikely to impact play significantly.
  • Both teams 2-0, early season momentum is important. North Texas looks to maintain home dominance and continue strong offensive performances. Washington State aims to establish themselves as top contenders and prove oddsmakers wrong despite underdog status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -230, away: +190 North Texas Mean Green ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread home: -108, away: -112 North Texas -6 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: -115, under: -105 Over 58.5 ★★★☆☆ 61%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Texas Mean Green 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 58.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 58.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

North Texas Mean Green to cover the 6-point spread and win the game outright, with the total going over 58.5 points.

Predicted Score: North Texas Mean Green 35 – Washington State Cougars 26


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Tennessee Volunteers vs. Georgia Bulldogs Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Tennessee Volunteers vs Georgia Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, Tennessee

Game Overview

The Tennessee Volunteers (2-0) host the Georgia Bulldogs (2-0) in an early-season SEC showdown. Georgia enters as a -3.5 favorite with a total set at 49.5 points. Tennessee has shown explosive offense recently, scoring 72 points in their last game, while Georgia relies on a strong defense and a rookie QB making his first true SEC road start.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tennessee Volunteers have displayed potent offense with a 72-17 rout last game, while Georgia won 28-6 but has shown some offensive shakiness under rookie QB Gunner Stockton.
  • Recent meetings favor Georgia slightly, but Tennessee has home-field advantage at Neyland Stadium, a notoriously tough venue for visitors.
  • No major injury updates have significantly shifted the betting line recently, indicating both teams should be near full strength.
  • Line movement and betting percentages indicate strong public money on Tennessee against the spread, and the environment at Neyland favors motivated home fans.
  • Both teams are undefeated and highly ranked, with significant SEC and postseason implications; Tennessee may have extra motivation to prove themselves at home against a top-10 opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Georgia Bulldogs: -180, Tennessee Volunteers: 150 Tennessee Volunteers ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Georgia Bulldogs: -110, Tennessee Volunteers: -110 Tennessee Volunteers +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: -110, Under: -110 Over 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Georgia Bulldogs 35%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Georgia Bulldogs at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tennessee Volunteers to cover the spread and keep this game close, with an upset potential on the moneyline given Georgia's offensive inconsistencies and Tennessee's hot offense and home-field edge.

Predicted Score: Georgia Bulldogs 27 – Tennessee Volunteers 24


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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Oregon State Beavers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oregon State Beavers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock

Game Overview

Texas Tech Red Raiders (2-0) host Oregon State Beavers (0-2) at Jones AT&T Stadium. Texas Tech is heavily favored with strong recent form and home advantage, while Oregon State struggles but has shown some offensive promise.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Texas Tech is 5-0 in their last 5 games and 2-0 this season, showing strong offensive output and solid defense. Oregon State is 0-2 this season, with a struggling defense ranked near the bottom nationally but an improving offense led by QB Maalik Murphy.
  • Limited recent head-to-head data; however, Texas Tech has demonstrated dominance as a ranked team, while Oregon State is underdog.
  • No significant injuries reported impacting starters on either team.
  • Game at Texas Tech’s home field with stable weather conditions (84°F, minimal rain, low wind). Texas Tech benefits from home crowd and altitude.
  • Texas Tech seeks to maintain undefeated status and top-25 ranking momentum; Oregon State looks to break the losing streak and prove competitiveness on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Texas Tech -3000, Oregon State +1200 Texas Tech ★★★★★ 90%
Spread Texas Tech -23.5 (-118), Oregon State +23.5 (-104) Texas Tech -23.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 61.5 (-106), Under 61.5 (-114) Under 61.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Texas Tech Red Raiders -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 61.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 61.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Texas Tech covers the large spread and wins convincingly; total points come under the posted line due to Oregon State's weak defense limiting scoring.

Predicted Score: Texas Tech 38 – Oregon State 18


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