Match Analysis: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oregon State Beavers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock
Game Overview
Texas Tech Red Raiders (2-0) host Oregon State Beavers (0-2) at Jones AT&T Stadium. Texas Tech is heavily favored with strong recent form and home advantage, while Oregon State struggles but has shown some offensive promise.
Key Factors to Consider
- Texas Tech is 5-0 in their last 5 games and 2-0 this season, showing strong offensive output and solid defense. Oregon State is 0-2 this season, with a struggling defense ranked near the bottom nationally but an improving offense led by QB Maalik Murphy.
- Limited recent head-to-head data; however, Texas Tech has demonstrated dominance as a ranked team, while Oregon State is underdog.
- No significant injuries reported impacting starters on either team.
- Game at Texas Techβs home field with stable weather conditions (84Β°F, minimal rain, low wind). Texas Tech benefits from home crowd and altitude.
- Texas Tech seeks to maintain undefeated status and top-25 ranking momentum; Oregon State looks to break the losing streak and prove competitiveness on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Texas Tech -3000, Oregon State +1200 | Texas Tech | β β β β β 90% |
Spread | Texas Tech -23.5 (-118), Oregon State +23.5 (-104) | Texas Tech -23.5 | β β β β β 78% |
Over/under | Over 61.5 (-106), Under 61.5 (-114) | Under 61.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Texas Tech Red Raiders -10% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 61.5 22% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 61.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Texas Tech covers the large spread and wins convincingly; total points come under the posted line due to Oregon State's weak defense limiting scoring.
Predicted Score: Texas Tech 38 – Oregon State 18