Match Analysis: Texas State Bobcats vs James Madison Dukes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-28
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: UFCU Stadium, San Marcos, Texas
Game Overview
James Madison Dukes (6-1) face Texas State Bobcats (3-4) in a Sun Belt matchup, with the Dukes being the favorites due to their strong running game and recent performance.
Key Factors to Consider
- James Madison has a powerful running game, ranking seventh in the nation, while Texas State has the 10th-ranked rushing attack. James Madison recently dominated Old Dominion, 63-27.
- The Dukes convincingly beat Texas State in their last matchup, 40-13.
- No significant injury reports are available to impact the outcome.
- Home-field advantage might slightly boost Texas State's chances, but James Madison's form suggests they can overcome it.
- Both teams are motivated, but James Madison's undefeated Sun Belt record could give them an edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -220 / +184 | James Madison Dukes | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | -6.5 -110 / +6.5 -110 | Texas State Bobcats +6.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 57.5 -105 / Under 57.5 -115 | Over 57.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | James Madison Dukes -13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 57.5 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 57.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
James Madison Dukes are favored to win, with a strong chance of covering the spread and the game going over the total points.
Predicted Score: James Madison 34, Texas State 29