Match Analysis: Texas A&M Aggies vs UTSA Roadrunners – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-30
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Kyle Field, College Station, TX
Game Overview
Texas A&M Aggies (ranked No. 19) host the UTSA Roadrunners in a college football season opener. Texas A&M is a heavy favorite with a strong defense and solid offense, while UTSA is an improving program with a productive offense but a weaker defense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Texas A&M went 8-5 last season, averaging 30.4 points per game and allowing 22.2 points. UTSA finished 7-6, scoring 33.2 points but allowing 30.1 points per game. Texas A&Mβs defense is significantly stronger, which is pivotal against UTSAβs offense.
- No recent direct matchups of significant note between Texas A&M and UTSA. Texas A&M, in a Power 5 conference, generally holds a talent and depth advantage over the Group of 5 UTSA.
- No major injuries reported on either side ahead of the game. Texas A&M starting QB Marcel Reed is healthy and expected to start after completing 61.1% passes last year.
- Game at Texas A&Mβs Kyle Field gives Aggies a strong home-field advantage with a large, passionate crowd and travel for UTSA. Weather and other conditions appear normal.
- Season opener importance favors Texas A&M to start strong to maintain national title hopes. UTSA motivated as underdog to prove competitiveness but less pressure overall.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Texas A&M -2800 / UTSA +1300 | Texas A&M | β β β β β 85% |
Spread | Texas A&M -24.5 (-105) / UTSA +24.5 (-115) | Texas A&M -24.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Over/under | Over 56.5 (-112) / Under 56.5 (-108) | Under 56.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Texas A&M Aggies -9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 56.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 56.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Texas A&M Aggies to win on the moneyline and cover the spread, with the game going under the total points line.
Predicted Score: Texas A&M 34 – UTSA 17