Match Analysis: Texas A&M Aggies vs Auburn Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Kyle Field, College Station, Texas
Game Overview
Texas A&M Aggies, ranked No. 9 with a 3-0 record, host the 3-1 Auburn Tigers in a key SEC conference matchup. Texas A&M is favored by 6.5 points on the spread with a moneyline at -230, reflecting strong recent performances including a nail-biting 41-40 win over Notre Dame. Auburn is coming off a close loss to Oklahoma, 24-17, and enters as a modest underdog with odds at +188.
Key Factors to Consider
- Texas A&M is unbeaten and has demonstrated high-scoring capabilities and resilience, notably edging Notre Dame by one point. Auburn has been competitive but recently fell to a strong Oklahoma team, suggesting potential vulnerability.
- Historically, Texas A&M holds an advantage especially at home in Kyle Field. The Aggies cover the 6.5-point spread against Auburn more than 50% of the time in recent meetings.
- No major injury reports prominently affect either team, indicating that both squads should be close to full strength.
- Home-field advantage at Kyle Field strongly favors Texas A&M, with fan presence and familiar conditions likely boosting their performance.
- Texas A&M aims to maintain an undefeated record and top-10 ranking, while Auburn looks to rebound from a conference loss, providing moderate motivation for both.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Texas A&M: -230, Auburn: +188 | Texas A&M | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Texas A&M: -6.5 -110, Auburn: +6.5 -110 | Texas A&M -6.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over: 52.5 -115, Under: 52.5 -105 | Over 52.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Texas A&M Aggies 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 52.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 52.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Texas A&M Aggies to win, cover the -6.5 spread, and the game to go over 52.5 points.
Predicted Score: Texas A&M 31 – Auburn 20