Match Analysis: Tennessee Volunteers vs UAB Blazers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 4:45 PM UTC
- Location: Neyland Stadium
Game Overview
Tennessee Volunteers host UAB Blazers with both teams at 2-1 records. Tennessee showed strong SEC contender qualities despite a recent close loss to Georgia. UAB can potentially keep pace early, but Tennessee is heavily favored to dominate overall.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tennessee has shown playoff-level potential with a narrow overtime loss to Georgia, improving to 3-0 against the spread this season. UAB holds a respectable 2-1 but lacks the firepower to compete with Tennessee's offense, which consistently scores high points.
- Limited recent direct matchups, but Tennessee has historically dominated similar non-conference opponents, suggesting a strong edge H2H.
- No significant injury reports impacting Tennessee's key starters. UAB's injury status is stable with no major impact players out.
- Game played at Tennessee's Neyland Stadium, home-field advantage is significant. Weather conditions are favorable with no rain and comfortable temperature (~82Β°F).
- Tennessee aims to rebound strongly after a close loss and prepare for a tougher upcoming road trip, though may not push for an excessive margin beyond securing a comfortable win. UAB motivated as underdogs to keep game respectable.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -8000 | Tennessee Volunteers | β β β β β 92% |
Spread | -115 | UAB Blazers +38.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | -105 | Over 69.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Home -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 69.5 33% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 69.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tennessee Volunteers dominate UAB Blazers but may not cover the massive 38.5 spread fully due to early game conservatism and upcoming tougher schedule, making an outright moneyline bet safest and over/under lean towards the total going over given Tennessee's scoring potential.
Predicted Score: Tennessee Volunteers 45 – UAB Blazers 14