Match Analysis: Tennessee Volunteers vs Syracuse Orange – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-30
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
Game Overview
The Tennessee Volunteers are strong favorites over the Syracuse Orange in this season opener, with Tennessee favored by 13.5 points and a total set at around 51.5 points. Both teams finished 10-3 last year, with Tennessee having a stronger defense and slightly higher scoring production.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tennessee was 12th nationally in scoring (35.7 PPG) and 7th in defense (16.1 PPG allowed), while Syracuse scored 34.1 PPG but allowed 29.2 points per game (96th nationally). Tennessee's balanced strength suggests a controlling game.
- Recent head-to-head data is sparse, but simulations favor Tennessee heavily winning approximately 88.6% of the time, with an expected margin of about 15 points.
- No significant injuries reported for either team prior to this game, suggesting both squads will compete at full strength.
- Game played at a neutral site in Mercedes-Benz Stadium, minimizing home-field advantage; coaching familiarity may benefit Tennessee's offense given Syracuse's head coach defensive background.
- Tennessee seeks to start the season strong after a College Football Playoff first-round exit, holding a coach with contract extension through 2030. Syracuse is motivated by recognition under new head coach Fran Brown aiming for progression but remains an underdog.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -580, away: +420 | Tennessee Volunteers | β β β β β 85% |
Spread | home: -115, away: -105 | Tennessee Volunteers -13.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Over/under | over: -110, under: -110 | Under 51.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Tennessee Volunteers -0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 51.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tennessee Volunteers to cover the -13.5 spread
Predicted Score: 28-13 Tennessee Volunteers