Match Analysis: Tennessee Volunteers vs Oklahoma Sooners – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Neyland Stadium
Game Overview
This NCAA football matchup features the Tennessee Volunteers hosting the Oklahoma Sooners, both ranked in the top 20 with 6-2 records. Tennessee has recent momentum with back-to-back wins and a strong offense, while Oklahoma struggled in their last game, losing at home to Ole Miss. The game is pivotal for College Football Playoff contention with high stakes on both sides.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tennessee has won their last two games decisively, including a 56-34 road win over Kentucky, demonstrating a high-powered offense. Oklahoma enters after a disappointing loss to Ole Miss (34-26). Tennessee has home-field advantage and has consistently performed well as a moneyline favorite (-135 odds in past similar games, with a perfect record).
- Tennessee won the previous head-to-head matchup 25-15 at Oklahoma's home stadium. This recent result indicates a competitive edge for Tennessee in this rivalry.
- No major injuries reported that significantly impact either team's starting lineup or key players, keeping both teams near full strength.
- The game is played at Neyland Stadium, giving Tennessee a significant home crowd and environmental advantage. Weather or other external factors have not been noted as impactful.
- This matchup is an elimination-style game for College Football Playoff hopes, making motivation extremely high for both teams. Tennesseeβs recent momentum and strong offensive showing likely increases their psychological edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tennessee -132, Oklahoma +112 | Tennessee | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Tennessee -2.5 (-110), Oklahoma +2.5 (-110) | Tennessee -2.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 55.5 (-102), Under 55.5 (-120) | Over 55.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tennessee Volunteers 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 55.5 19% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 55.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tennessee Volunteers to win straight up, cover the spread, and the total score to go Over 55.5
Predicted Score: Tennessee 31 – Oklahoma 24