Match Analysis: Tennessee Volunteers vs Georgia Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, Tennessee
Game Overview
The Tennessee Volunteers (2-0) host the Georgia Bulldogs (2-0) in an early-season SEC showdown. Georgia enters as a -3.5 favorite with a total set at 49.5 points. Tennessee has shown explosive offense recently, scoring 72 points in their last game, while Georgia relies on a strong defense and a rookie QB making his first true SEC road start.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tennessee Volunteers have displayed potent offense with a 72-17 rout last game, while Georgia won 28-6 but has shown some offensive shakiness under rookie QB Gunner Stockton.
- Recent meetings favor Georgia slightly, but Tennessee has home-field advantage at Neyland Stadium, a notoriously tough venue for visitors.
- No major injury updates have significantly shifted the betting line recently, indicating both teams should be near full strength.
- Line movement and betting percentages indicate strong public money on Tennessee against the spread, and the environment at Neyland favors motivated home fans.
- Both teams are undefeated and highly ranked, with significant SEC and postseason implications; Tennessee may have extra motivation to prove themselves at home against a top-10 opponent.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Georgia Bulldogs: -180, Tennessee Volunteers: 150 | Tennessee Volunteers | β β β ββ 60% |
Spread | Georgia Bulldogs: -110, Tennessee Volunteers: -110 | Tennessee Volunteers +3.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over: -110, Under: -110 | Over 49.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Georgia Bulldogs 35% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 49.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Georgia Bulldogs at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tennessee Volunteers to cover the spread and keep this game close, with an upset potential on the moneyline given Georgia's offensive inconsistencies and Tennessee's hot offense and home-field edge.
Predicted Score: Georgia Bulldogs 27 – Tennessee Volunteers 24