Match Analysis: Temple Owls vs Tulane Green Wave – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 8:45 PM UTC
- Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Game Overview
The Temple Owls (5-5, 3-3 AAC) host the No. 24 Tulane Green Wave (8-2, 5-1 AAC) in a pivotal American Athletic Conference matchup. Tulane enters as the clear favorite, with the game expected to be a test of Temple's ability to upset a ranked opponent at home. The over/under is set at 56.5 points, indicating expectations for a high-scoring contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tulane has been dominant this season, averaging 53.3 points per game overall, 55.1 on the road, and 32.8 implied points per game away. Their ATS record is 4-5-1, with a 2-3-0 mark on the road. Temple averages 31.4 points per game overall, 30.0 at home, and has a 4-1 record when favored by fewer than 10 points. The Owls have gone over the total in 7 of their last 10 games, while Tulane has gone under in 6 of their last 10.
- Recent head-to-head matchups show Tulane with a clear edge, having won the last two meetings. Tulane's offense has consistently outscored Temple, with the last meeting resulting in a 38-37 Tulane win. Tulane's defense has also limited Temple to under 32 points in both of those wins.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their full starting lineups.
- The game will be played at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, with mild weather (50ยฐF, 0% rain, light wind). The venue is neutral for Tulane but a home advantage for Temple, who have a 3-2 record at home this season. The game will be broadcast on ESPNU.
- Tulane is fighting for a conference title and potential playoff berth, while Temple is aiming to reach bowl eligibility with a win. The Owls have a strong motivation to upset a ranked opponent at home, but Tulane's season-long consistency and higher stakes give them a psychological edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Temple Owls: +260, Tulane Green Wave: -320 | Tulane Green Wave | โ โ โ โ โ 85% |
| Spread | Temple Owls: +7.5 -105, Tulane Green Wave: -7.5 -115 | Tulane Green Wave -7.5 | โ โ โ โ โ 78% |
| Over/under | Over: 56.5 -105, Under: 56.5 -115 | Under 56.5 | โ โ โ โ โ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tulane Green Wave -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 56.5 31% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 56.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tulane is favored to win this matchup due to their superior offensive production, defensive consistency, and higher stakes. The Green Wave's ability to score on the road and their strong ATS record suggest they will cover the spread. The total is likely to go under, as Tulane's recent games have trended under and Temple's defense has been solid at home.
Predicted Score: Tulane Green Wave 34, Temple Owls 24