Match Analysis: Temple Owls vs Oklahoma Sooners – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Game Overview
The No. 13 Oklahoma Sooners (2-0) visit the Temple Owls (2-0) at Lincoln Financial Field. Oklahoma is a heavy favorite with a -21.5 spread and strong moneyline odds, reflecting a significant talent and ranking gap between the two. Both teams are unbeaten and coming off convincing wins, but Oklahoma's recent victory over a ranked Michigan team and higher national ranking indicate stronger quality overall.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oklahoma is 2-0 with a top-50 national ranking, showcasing solid offensive and defensive balance, including a 24-13 win over Michigan. Temple is also undefeated at 2-0 but ranked much lower (around 127) with dominant wins against weaker opponents such as a 55-7 victory over Buffalo. Templeβs defense has been strong late in games but lacks experience against top-ranked teams.
- Historically, Temple has struggled against AP-ranked opponents, losing their last eight such games. Oklahoma's strong program and recent successes give them a decisive edge in head-to-head competitiveness.
- No significant injuries reported for either team affecting key players. Both squads appear near full strength for the matchup.
- The game is a non-conference contest at Templeβs home field, which may boost Owlsβ motivation slightly. However, this is unlikely to offset Oklahomaβs superior talent and ranking. Weather and travel conditions are not expected to be disruptive.
- Oklahoma aims to maintain its top-15 status and continue a high-quality early season showing. Temple seeks to prove it can compete with ranked teams, using home advantage and recent defensive resilience to stay competitive.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Oklahoma Sooners: -1800, Temple Owls: +1000 | Oklahoma Sooners | β β β β β 90% |
Spread | Oklahoma Sooners: -22.5 -108, Temple Owls: +22.5 -112 | Temple Owls +22.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Over/under | Over: 51.5 -112, Under: 51.5 -108 | Under 51.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Oklahoma Sooners -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 51.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oklahoma Sooners to win on the moneyline but fail to cover the large -22.5 spread. The total points are expected to fall under 51.5 due to Templeβs stout defensive effort in later quarters and Oklahomaβs more controlled tempo.
Predicted Score: Oklahoma Sooners 31 – Temple Owls 17