Match Analysis: Stanford Cardinal vs San Jose State Spartans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stanford Stadium
Game Overview
Stanford Cardinal hosts San Jose State Spartans in a closely matched Pac-12 vs. Mountain West contest. Stanford is slight favorite at home despite a subpar 1-3 start, while San Jose State (1-2) seeks to improve and leverage a marginally better power ranking.
Key Factors to Consider
- Stanford enters with a 1-3 record, struggling offensively but benefiting from home field. San Jose State is 1-2 but holds a slightly higher power ranking (94.67 vs 91.33) and better recent form in defensive metrics.
- Limited recent H2H data, but the teams are competitively close with previous matchups often decided by single-digit margins.
- No significant injuries reported impacting key starters for either team as of pregame assessments.
- Game played at Stanford Stadium, giving Cardinal a home field edge. Weather and other external conditions expected neutral and not impacting gameplay.
- Both teams motivated to reverse early season struggles; Stanford aims to protect home turf while San Jose State wants to prove superiority over Power 5 opponent.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Stanford -142, San Jose State +120 | Stanford | β β β β β 70% |
Spread | Stanford -3 -108, San Jose State +3 -112 | Stanford -3 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 49.5 -115, Under 49.5 -105 | Under 49.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Stanford Cardinal 4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 49.5 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Stanford Cardinal to win on the moneyline and cover the -3 point spread; total points expected to go under 49.5.
Predicted Score: Stanford 24 – San Jose State 17