Match Analysis: South Florida Bulls vs Florida Atlantic Owls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida
Game Overview
The No. 19 South Florida Bulls (5-1, 2-0 AAC) host the Florida Atlantic Owls (3-3, 2-1 AAC) in a key American Athletic Conference matchup. USF is riding a three-game winning streak, including a dominant 63-36 road win at North Texas, while FAU comes off back-to-back wins, most recently a 53-33 home victory over UAB. USF is favored by 21.5 points with a total set at 73.5.
Key Factors to Consider
- USF is in strong form, averaging over 40 points per game during their win streak, while also showing defensive issues by allowing 36 points last week. FAU has scored over 50 points in their last two games but faces a significant step up in competition.
- USF dominated FAU 44-21 in their last meeting and carries a significant talent and momentum edge into this matchup.
- No major injuries reported as of October 17, 2025, but if there are late absences of key players, the spread could move.
- Game is at Raymond James Stadium, giving USF a clear home-field advantage. Weather is not expected to be a significant factor.
- USF is chasing a conference title and possible New Yearβs Six bowl, while FAU is looking to build momentum for bowl eligibility.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | USF -2200, FAU +1100 | South Florida Bulls | β β β β β 93% |
Spread | USF -21.5 -110, FAU +21.5 -110 | South Florida Bulls -21.5 | β β β β β 78% |
Over/under | Over 73.5 -105, Under 73.5 -115 | Under 73.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | South Florida Bulls -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 73.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 73.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
USFβs offensive firepower and recent defensive lapses by both teams suggest a high-scoring game, but the Bullsβ talent and home advantage should see them cover the large spread. The total is set aggressively high; both teams have recent over trends, but FAUβs offensive inconsistency against top defenses may cap scoring.
Predicted Score: South Florida 48, Florida Atlantic 26