Match Analysis: South Florida Bulls vs Charlotte 49ers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-03
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida
Game Overview
South Florida Bulls (3-1) host AAC rival Charlotte 49ers (1-3). South Florida is a massive favorite, despite a 0-0 AAC record, while Charlotte is 0-1 in conference and coming off a loss to Rice.
Key Factors to Consider
- South Florida has a solid 3-1 record and just routed FCS opponent South Carolina State 63-14. Charlotte is 1-3, struggling both offensively and defensively, and ranks lower in conference standings[1][5].
- Recent head-to-head data unavailable, but South Florida is 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last 5 games, showing strong recent performance versus expectations[4].
- No significant injury news reported in current sources.
- Game played at Raymond James Stadium, a clear home-field advantage for South Florida. No major weather or scheduling impacts reported.
- South Florida is eyeing AAC contention and will look to dominate in-conference. Charlotte is struggling and lacks momentum, but could play loose as heavy underdogs.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | South Florida -4500, Charlotte +1600 | South Florida win | β β β β β 98% |
Spread | Charlotte +27.5 -122, South Florida -27.5 +100 | Charlotte +27.5 | β β β ββ 61% |
Over/under | Over 54.5 -115, Under 54.5 -105 | Under 54.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | South Florida Bulls 1566% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 54.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: South Florida Bulls at 1566% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 97.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Expect South Florida to dominate statistically and on the scoreboard, but Charlotte may cover as massive underdogs, especially given the wide spread and South Florida's occasional inconsistency when heavily favored.
Predicted Score: South Florida 42, Charlotte 17