Match Analysis: South Alabama Jaguars vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, Alabama
Game Overview
The South Alabama Jaguars host the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers in a Sun Belt conference matchup. Both teams enter the contest with 1-2 records, coming off recent losses: South Alabama lost 31-15 to Auburn, while Coastal Carolina was shut out 38-0 by East Carolina. South Alabama is favored by a significant spread (~15.5 points), reflecting their home advantage and marginally better recent performance. The game total is set around 51.5 points, indicating expectations of a moderately scoring contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- South Alabama has struggled but shows more offensive consistency than Coastal Carolina, who has yet to find scoring rhythm this season and was recently shut out. South Alabama has not covered the spread as a large favorite, indicating possible vulnerability despite being favored. Coastal Carolina is currently 0-3 against the spread this season.
- Recent historical head-to-head data is limited in the sources, but both teams are South Division Sun Belt rivals, typically leading to competitive games. Given Current spreads favoring South Alabama by more than two touchdowns, prior performance suggests dominance by South Alabama in matchups.
- No explicit injury information has been provided in the search results; thus, injury status is unknown and cannot be factored definitively.
- The game is played at Hancock Whitney Stadium, giving South Alabama home-field advantage. Weather and other environmental factors are not reported but presumed neutral; the venue is indoors, mitigating weather impact.
- Both teams sit at 1-2; motivation to secure a conference win is high for each. South Alabama, as the home team and favorite, has additional pressure to perform well at home. Coastal Carolina seeks to reverse recent poor results and avoid a losing record in conference play.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | South Alabama: -800, Coastal Carolina: 550 | South Alabama Moneyline Win | โ โ โ โ โ 85% |
| Spread | South Alabama: -15.5 -112, Coastal Carolina: +15.5 -108 | South Alabama to cover -15.5 | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 51.5: -108, Under 51.5: -112 | Under 51.5 points | โ โ โ โ โ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | South Alabama Jaguars 433% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 51.5 33% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: South Alabama Jaguars at 433% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 78.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
South Alabama is predicted to win, covering the -15.5 spread with a final score near 31-18. The total points are likely to fall under the set over/under of 51.5 given both teams' recent offensive struggles and tendency toward lower-scoring contests.
Predicted Score: South Alabama 31, Coastal Carolina 18