Match Analysis: South Alabama Jaguars vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, Alabama
Game Overview
South Alabama Jaguars host Coastal Carolina Chanticleers in a week 4 matchup. Both teams enter with 1-2 records. South Alabama is heavily favored with a strong home advantage, while Coastal Carolina is struggling offensively and on defense.
Key Factors to Consider
- South Alabama and Coastal Carolina both sit at 1-2. South Alabama has a better offensive output historically, while Coastal Carolina has struggled to score (averaging fewer than 7 points per game) and allowed nearly 29 points per game defensively.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited, but Coastal Carolina holds strong ATS performance historically in week 4 games, while South Alabama has been weak in week 4 recent matchups (3-9 SU). However, coastal Carolina's recent form and offensive struggles against a home favorite place the edge with South Alabama.
- No major injury reports currently available for either team that would strongly impact key positional players.
- Game is at South Alabama's home stadium, providing strong home-field advantage. Weather factors are not expected to significantly impact play.
- Both teams need a win to improve early season standing, but South Alabama's home crowd and stronger team form suggest higher motivation and better execution.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | South Alabama: -675, Coastal Carolina: +490 | South Alabama | β β β β β 80% |
Spread | South Alabama -14.5: -110, Coastal Carolina +14.5: -110 | South Alabama -14.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Over/under | Over 51.5: -108, Under 51.5: -112 | Under 51.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | South Alabama Jaguars -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 51.5 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
South Alabama to win outright and cover the 14.5 point spread; the total will likely stay under 51.5 points due to Coastal Carolina's offensive struggles.
Predicted Score: South Alabama 38 – Coastal Carolina 13