Match Analysis: Seattle Seahawks vs Houston Texans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-21
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
Game Overview
The Seattle Seahawks (4-2) host the Houston Texans (2-3) in an NFC vs. AFC matchup. Seattle has solid home form but a middling 1-2 home record this season, while Houston struggles on the road. Seattleβs balanced offense and strong defense contrast with Houstonβs underperforming squad.
Key Factors to Consider
- Seattle ranks 5th in points per game (27.7) and 6th in points allowed (19.5), showing an efficient balanced attack led by QB Sam Darnold and a stout defense. Houston has scored just 108 points total this season, with a 2-3 record and weaker offense and defense metrics overall.
- Seattle dominated a recent meeting 26-0, indicating a clear edge. Historically, Seahawks perform better in this matchup, particularly at home.
- No major injuries reported affecting key Seattle starters. Houstonβs injury report is unclear, but absence of key players would further weaken their competitiveness.
- Seattle benefits from a strong home crowd at Lumen Field and stable weather. Houston faces travel fatigue and less favorable environmental conditions.
- Seattle aims to solidify NFC West standing and improve inconsistent home record. Houston looks to rebound from losing streaks but faces a tougher opponent away from home.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Seattle Seahawks -166 / Houston Texans +140 | Seattle Seahawks | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Seattle Seahawks -3 -110 / Houston Texans +3 -110 | Seattle Seahawks -3 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 41.5 -105 / Under 41.5 -115 | Under 41.5 | β β β ββ 66% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Seattle Seahawks 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 41.5 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 41.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Seahawks to win moneyline, cover the -3 spread, and the game total to go under 41.5 points.
Predicted Score: Seattle Seahawks 24 – Houston Texans 14