Match Analysis: San Jose State Spartans vs Idaho Vandals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: CEFCU Stadium, San Jose, California
Game Overview
The San Jose State Spartans host the Idaho Vandals on September 20, 2025, at CEFCU Stadium. Both teams enter the game with challenging starts to their seasons. San Jose State is 0-2 overall with recent losses and aims to capitalize on home advantage. Idaho Vandals, currently 0-1, have shown moderate success in their recent games but face a tough Mountain West opponent on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Jose State has struggled early this season with an 0-2 record, including a loss at Texas and Central Michigan. Idaho also enters at 0-1 after a close loss to Washington State but has two subsequent wins in lower-profile games, showing some form recovery. San Jose Stateโs performance in Mountain West play is yet to begin, while Idaho has a limited conference schedule starting this match.
- Recent historical head-to-head data is sparse, but San Jose State as the Mountain West team and home favorite generally holds an advantage over Big Sky's Idaho Vandals. Previous seasons suggest a trend favoring San Jose State, though Idaho can be competitive underdogs.
- No specific injury data is available for either team from the current information, meaning both likely have standard rosters available.
- The game is played at San Jose Stateโs CEFCU Stadium, providing a notable home-field advantage. Weather and other external conditions on September 20 are not specified but typically should be favorable in San Jose in late September.
- San Jose State seeks to stop a two-game losing streak and improve their Mountain West standing, adding urgency and drive. Idaho aims to prove competitiveness on a higher level after a tough early setback, motivated to secure a key road win.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Idaho Vandals: +440, San Jose State Spartans: -610 | San Jose State Spartans win | โ โ โ โ โ 85% |
| Spread | Idaho Vandals: +14.5 -110, San Jose State Spartans: -14.5 -110 | San Jose State Spartans cover the -14.5 spread | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 50.5 -110, Under: 50.5 -110 | Under 50.5 points | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Jose State Spartans -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 50.5 24% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Jose State is the strong favorite due to home advantage, better conference positioning, and superior depth. Idaho may cover the large spread if they capitalize on underdog motivation, but winning outright is unlikely.
Predicted Score: San Jose State Spartans 31 – Idaho Vandals 14