Match Analysis: San Diego State Aztecs vs Wyoming Cowboys – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, California
Game Overview
San Diego State Aztecs (6-1) host the Wyoming Cowboys (4-4) in an MWC clash with San Diego State heavily favored based on recent form, home advantage, and superior statistical metrics.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Diego State has demonstrated strong form at 6-1, with a stout defense and efficient offense. Wyoming is middling at 4-4 with inconsistency on both sides of the ball, especially struggling offensively away from home.
- Recent head-to-head results favor San Diego State, with the Aztecs covering spreads comfortably and winning by double digits in most recent meetings.
- No major injuries reported for San Diego State; Wyoming's key offensive starters have minor injuries that may limit effectiveness.
- The game is at San Diego State’s home stadium providing a significant home-field advantage including fan support and favorable weather conditions.
- San Diego State is motivated to solidify their position for a top MWC seed, while Wyoming faces pressure to improve their losing record but has less overall incentive given recent losses.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Diego State -480, Wyoming +360 | San Diego State | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | San Diego State -10.5 -110, Wyoming +10.5 -110 | San Diego State -10.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Over/under | Over 41.5 -115, Under 41.5 -105 | Under 41.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Diego State Aztecs 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 41.5 27% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 41.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego State to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -10.5 spread, and the total score to go under 41.5.
Predicted Score: San Diego State 27, Wyoming 13