Match Analysis: Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Delaware Blue Hens – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, Texas
Game Overview
The game features the Delaware Blue Hens (5-4 overall, 3-3 in CUSA) visiting the struggling Sam Houston State Bearkats (1-8 overall, 0-5 in CUSA) at Shell Energy Stadium. Delaware is coming off a recent close victory over Louisiana Tech (25-24), showing some resilience, while Sam Houston earned a surprising win against Oregon State (21-17) after a long losing streak. Delaware is favored by 9.5 points with an over/under set at 56.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Delaware holds a better record (5-4) versus Sam Houston's poor 1-8, but the Bearkats shocked with their last game win. Sam Houston's season has been characterized by heavy losses, except for the upset over Oregon State. Delaware has a moderate 3-6-0 record ATS, whereas Sam Houston is 2-7-0 ATS this season.
- There is no recently available detailed historic head-to-head data for this matchup in the given results, likely due to conference realignment or few recent matchups.
- Current specific injury information is not provided in the corpus, so no injury impacts can be confirmed.
- Home field advantage at Shell Energy Stadium favors Sam Houston, but Delaware's stronger recent form and betting odds suggest they are well positioned. Weather and other extrinsic factors are unknown.
- Delaware seeks to maintain winning momentum to solidify their bowl eligibility, while Sam Houston looks to salvage their difficult season with a home upset.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Delaware Blue Hens: -375, Sam Houston State Bearkats: 295 | Delaware Blue Hens to win | โ โ โ โ โ 79% |
| Spread | Delaware Blue Hens: -9.5 -112, Sam Houston State Bearkats: +9.5 -108 | Delaware Blue Hens -9.5 | โ โ โ โ โ 72% |
| Over/under | Over: 56.5 -110, Under: 56.5 -110 | Over 56.5 | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Delaware Blue Hens 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 56.5 24% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 56.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Delaware is favored to win by about 9.5 points, with a reasonable expectation for a moderately high scoring game given the 56.5 over/under line. Delaware's stronger form and higher winning probabilities indicate confidence in their victory despite playing away.
Predicted Score: Delaware Blue Hens 33 – Sam Houston State Bearkats 24