Match Analysis: Purdue Boilermakers vs Southern Illinois Salukis – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 11:35 PM UTC
- Location: Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, Indiana
Game Overview
The Purdue Boilermakers (1-0) host the Southern Illinois Salukis (1-0) in a Week 2 NCAA football matchup at Ross-Ade Stadium. Both teams come off strong opening victories, with Purdue defeating Ball State 31-0 and Southern Illinois also starting 1-0. Purdue's offense is statistically more productive, averaging 433 yards per game compared to Southern Illinois' 386 yards. Purdue also holds a defensive edge, allowing fewer points and yards per game. The game kickoff is at 7:30 p.m. ET on September 6, 2025, broadcast on BTN.
Key Factors to Consider
- Purdue ranks higher both offensively and defensively, averaging 433 total yards and 31 points per game, while Southern Illinois averages 386 yards and 7 points per game. Purdueโs defense is notably strong, allowing zero points in their opener, whereas Southern Illinois gives up 3 points per game. Purdueโs QB Ryan Browne is efficient with 311 yards and 2 TDs, and the running game is solid with 59 yards by D. Mockobee. Southern Illinoisโ QB D. Williams produced 227 passing yards and 3 TDs, indicating some offensive potential.
- The recent head-to-head record is sparse, with the previous notable matchup on September 20, 2014, where Purdue defeated Southern Illinois 35-13. This historical advantage favors Purdue but is dated.
- No specific current injuries reported for either team in the available data.
- The game is at Purdueโs home stadium, Ross-Ade, giving them home field advantage. Weather conditions and other external factors are not indicated as significant.
- Both teams are undefeated and motivated to continue their strong starts. Purdue faces a tougher in-conference schedule ahead, suggesting the need to build momentum early at home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Purdue Boilermakers: -1250, Southern Illinois Salukis: 740 | Purdue Boilermakers | โ โ โ โ โ 90% |
| Spread | Purdue Boilermakers: -19.5 -110, Southern Illinois Salukis: 19.5 -110 | Purdue Boilermakers to cover the -19.5 spread | โ โ โ โ โ 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 51.5 -110, Under: 51.5 -110 | Under 51.5 points | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Purdue Boilermakers -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 51.5 24% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Purdue Boilermakers are favored to win convincingly due to superior offensive and defensive stats, home advantage, and stronger recent performances.
Predicted Score: Purdue Boilermakers 38 – Southern Illinois Salukis 14