Match Analysis: Purdue Boilermakers vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, Indiana
Game Overview
Rutgers Scarlet Knights (3-4) visit Purdue Boilermakers (2-5) in a Big Ten matchup where Rutgers is favored despite recent heavy loss. Purdue is without starting QB Ryan Browne, weakening their offense significantly. Both teams struggle in conference with no Big Ten wins so far.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rutgers has a 3-4 overall record but has been more competitive in recent games aside from a blowout loss to Oregon. Purdue is 2-5 with a tougher offensive outlook due to injury. Purdueβs last game was a 19-0 loss. Both teams have poor conference records at 0-4.
- No direct recent head-to-head statistics provided, but Rutgers is slightly favored by bookmakers and projected to cover the spread.
- Purdue is without starting quarterback Ryan Browne, which drastically reduces their offensive potential. Rutgers has no critical injuries reported that significantly affect lineup.
- Game will be played at Purdueβs home Ross-Ade Stadium with mild weather near 51Β°F and no rain or adverse weather impact. Crowd support generally favors Purdue but Rutgers seems poised mentally to upset.
- Rutgers is motivated to secure their first Big Ten conference win against a struggling Purdue squad also seeking a conference breakthrough, making motivation edge slightly towards Rutgers.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: +105, away: -125 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Purdue: +2.5 -115, Rutgers: -2.5 -105 | Rutgers -2.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | over: -112, under: -108 | Under 58.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rutgers Scarlet Knights 8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 58.5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Rutgers Scarlet Knights at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rutgers to win straight-up on the moneyline, cover the spread, and the game to go under the total of 58.5
Predicted Score: Rutgers 24 – Purdue 17