Match Analysis: Pittsburgh Steelers vs Minnesota Vikings – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 1:31 PM UTC
- Location: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
Game Overview
This NFL Week 4 matchup features the Minnesota Vikings visiting the Pittsburgh Steelers, both sitting at 2-1 records. The Vikings are slight favorites despite injury setbacks. The Steelers, playing at home, aim to leverage their balanced offense and stout defense to stay competitive.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams hold identical 2-1 records. Steelers recently thrashed Cincinnati 48-10 but showed inconsistency offensively. Vikings have also displayed resilience despite key injuries, maintaining a solid defense and explosive receiving corps.
- Recent H2H history is limited for this exact matchup, but historically games have been competitive. No decisive dominance for either side. Both teams have managed close results against similar caliber opponents this season.
- Vikings missing key offensive assets including RB Aaron Jones (hamstring), WR Rondale Moore (knee), and QB J.J. McCarthy (ankle). Steelers’ Skylar Thompson (QB) is questionable with a hamstring injury. These absences impact offensive rhythm, especially for Vikings.
- The game is held at the Steelers’ home turf in Pittsburgh, providing them a slight weather and crowd noise advantage. The game is early in the NFL season, motivation is high for both teams seeking momentum.
- Both teams are motivated to secure a winning footprint early in the season. Vikings need to prove depth and overcome injuries, while Steelers aim to assert their home dominance and improve on offensive efficiency.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Minnesota Vikings -142, Pittsburgh Steelers +120 | Minnesota Vikings | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Minnesota Vikings -2.5 -115, Pittsburgh Steelers +2.5 -105 | Minnesota Vikings -2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 40.5 -115, Under 40.5 -105 | Over 40.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Minnesota Vikings -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 40.5 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 40.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Minnesota Vikings moneyline with over 40.5 points
Predicted Score: Vikings 24 – Steelers 20