Match Analysis: Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh
Game Overview
The Pittsburgh Steelers, currently 5-4 and playing at home, face the Cincinnati Bengals who are struggling with a 3-6 record. The Steelers are favored by 5.5 points with moneyline odds of -245, reflecting expectations of a home win against an underperforming Bengals team.
Key Factors to Consider
- Steelers have a moderate 5-4 record with a strong 3-2 home record and positive spread cover rate at home. Bengals have a weaker 3-6 record overall and 1-3 on the road, showing consistent struggles both outright and against the spread.
- Recent matchup on 10/16 shows a narrow Bengals win 33-31, but that game had Bengals as underdogs +5.5 and the total went over 44.5 points. Their head-to-head tends to be competitive but Pittsburgh holds the home advantage.
- No major injuries reported impacting starters heavily for either team, which should allow both squads to field near full strength.
- Weather and field conditions at Heinz Field typically favor the home Steelers, especially late in the season. No reported travel or scheduling disruptions for either side.
- Steelers are fighting to stay above .500 and secure a playoff push, giving them higher motivation compared to a Bengals team struggling to find consistency and with fewer postseason hopes.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -245, away: +200 | Pittsburgh Steelers | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | home: -112, away: -108 | Pittsburgh Steelers -5.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | over: -110, under: -110 | Under 49.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pittsburgh Steelers -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 49.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Steelers moneyline win
Predicted Score: Steelers 27 - Bengals 17
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