Match Analysis: Pittsburgh Panthers vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Game Overview
The No. 9 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (7-2) visit the No. 23 Pittsburgh Panthers (7-2) in a high-stakes game with significant College Football Playoff implications. Notre Dame is a strong favorite with a sharp defense and run-centric offense, while Pittsburgh rides momentum from recent wins and a top-ranked rushing defense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Notre Dame boasts a balanced offense led by Jeremiyah Love and a strong rushing attack, averaging around 56.8 points per game. Pittsburgh is known for its elite rush defense, ranked third nationally, and has won its last five games, also covering most spreads.
- Both teams currently hold 7-2 records with Notre Dame favored heavily in the past meetings. The Fighting Irish have demonstrated dominance in past head-to-head matchups, including a recent 49-10 dismantling of Navy, reflecting their top-10 ranking.
- No major injuries reported for key starters on either team. Both squads are expected to field their strongest lineups, maintaining defensive and offensive cohesiveness.
- Game played at Pittsburgh in cool, clear weather (49Β°F, no rain, moderate wind), favorable for a balanced offensive approach. Public betting is divided, with about 54% money on Pittsburgh, indicating potential value on Notre Dame as favorites.
- Pittsburgh is highly motivated, aiming for the ACC title and a playoff berth with a three-game winning streak. Notre Dame is equally motivated to maintain a top-10 ranking and continue its winning form against ranked opposition.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Notre Dame: -480, Pittsburgh: +370 | Notre Dame | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Notre Dame -11.5 (-114), Pittsburgh +11.5 (-106) | Notre Dame -11.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 55.5 (-108), Under 55.5 (-112) | Under 55.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Notre Dame Fighting Irish -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 55.5 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 55.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Notre Dame winning comfortably both straight up and against the spread, with the combined total staying under the 55.5 points set by bookmakers due to strong defensive showings and run-heavy offensive styles which tend to slow tempo.
Predicted Score: Notre Dame 31 – Pittsburgh 17