Match Analysis: Ottawa Redblacks vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-20
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Ivor Wynne Stadium (Hamilton)
Game Overview
This CFL matchup features the Hamilton Tiger-Cats hosting the Ottawa Redblacks. Hamilton enters with strong recent form and offensive efficiency, while Ottawa struggles defensively and offensively under pressure.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hamilton is 3-2 SU with a top-tier offense ranked 1st in scoring and 2nd in passing, demonstrating sustained offensive success. Ottawa is 1-4 SU with poor yards allowed per play, ranking near the bottom defensively, and offensive struggles after initial drives.
- Hamilton won the recent meeting 23-20 and controlled the game's tempo with effective ball movement. Hamilton has demonstrated superiority in this matchup and shares the Eastern Conference lead.
- No major injury concerns reported for either team that would significantly impact key offensive or defensive positions.
- The game is in Hamiltonβs home stadium, which historically boosts their performance. Weather is not expected to hamper offensive production significantly.
- Hamilton is highly motivated to consolidate Eastern Conference leadership. Ottawa is seeking to halt a losing streak but faces psychological and tactical challenges.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Hamilton Tiger-Cats: -125, Ottawa Redblacks: +104 | Hamilton Tiger-Cats | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Hamilton Tiger-Cats: -1.5 -114, Ottawa Redblacks: +1.5 -106 | Hamilton Tiger-Cats -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over: 54.5 -110, Under: 54.5 -110 | Under 54.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Ottawa Redblacks 8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 54.5 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 54.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hamilton Tiger-Cats moneyline winner with a clean victory covering the -1.5 spread; total points to stay under 54.5.
Predicted Score: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 27 – Ottawa Redblacks 20