Match Analysis: Oregon State Beavers vs Washington State Cougars – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Reser Stadium
Game Overview
The Washington State Cougars (4-4) visit the Oregon State Beavers (1-7) in a Pac-12 matchup featuring two struggling teams with Washington State favored to win. Washington State has shown a stronger defense, averaging allowing 24.8 points per game, while Oregon State has had significant offensive struggles.
Key Factors to Consider
- Washington State holds a moderate winning record (4-4) with a defense that is relatively effective, whereas Oregon State (1-7) struggles on offense and has a poor record both home and away recently.
- The recent six meetings between these teams have been closely contested, with Washington State winning 4 of the last 6 games. The last meeting saw Oregon State win narrowly 41-38 in November 2024, showing competitive but slightly favoring Washington State historically.
- No specific major injuries reported for key players from the provided data; no injury concerns materially affecting the forecast noted.
- Game held at Oregon State's Reser Stadium provides some home advantage to the Beavers, but their poor season form diminishes this edge.
- Washington State motivated to maintain relevance in the conference with a .500 record, while Oregon State faces a demoralizing 1-7 season and low momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: +162, away: -194 | Washington State Cougars | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | oregon_state: -102, washington_state: -120 | Oregon State Beavers +3.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | over: -110, under: -110 | Under 46.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Washington State Cougars -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 46.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Washington State to win straight up given stronger defense, slightly better season form, and historical edge with 64.9% chance estimated.
Predicted Score: Washington State 24 – Oregon State 20