Match Analysis: Oregon State Beavers vs Fresno State Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR
Game Overview
Oregon State Beavers host Fresno State Bulldogs in a key early season matchup. Oregon State is slight favorite at home after a heavy opening loss, while Fresno State arrives off a strong season-opening win.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oregon State is 0-1 with a 19-point loss at home, struggling in third-down efficiency and committing multiple turnovers. Fresno State is 1-1, coming off a strong 28-point victory with positive momentum.
- The teams met once in 2022 with Oregon State narrowly winning 35-32 on the road. The game was high scoring and close.
- No major injuries reported impacting key starters for either team.
- Weather expected to be mild (69Β°F) with minimal rain and light wind. Home crowd expected to back Oregon State strongly.
- Oregon State is motivated to rebound from season-opening loss especially at home, while Fresno State looks to continue momentum from their big win.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Oregon State: -148, Fresno State: 124 | Oregon State | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | Oregon State: -3 -108, Fresno State: +3 -112 | Oregon State -3 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over: 45.5 -108, Under: 45.5 -112 | Under 45.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Oregon State Beavers 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 45.5 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oregon State -3 spread
Predicted Score: Oregon State 24 – Fresno State 18